1
Fire Bullet
2yo Colt · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix De Vineuil Maiden Stakes · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |