9

Le Troca

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Chantilly · Prix De Vineuil Maiden Stakes · 1m 208y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y GS 11814/09C5C8 @ Chantilly 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12823/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Chantilly?6th10th−4
2026-09-14Chantilly?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0923/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +16.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20267th66/10%0%0.00
23/09/20266th80/10%17%+0.17