On The Rock Blou

2yo Colt · 9-2

Chantilly · Prix De Vineuil Maiden Stakes · 1m 208y

#12

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Saint-Cloud	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-08-24	Dieppe	2	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-07-28	Compiegne	?			0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength25%

Delivery trend +12.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/08/2026	7th	100/1	0%	0%	0.00
07/09/2026	8th	40/1	0%	13%	+0.13