14
Alatemagicbaby
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-06-07 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-02-20 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |