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Big Sip

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Southwell 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 82 · 1m3f23y Std 117 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 82 par28/083OR 824 @ Sandown 17/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m1f209y Sft 135 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 80 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 78 par18/105OR 784 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 78 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 78 par27/044OR 783 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 77 · 1m208y GS 123 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 77 par3 @ Vichy 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 7f209y Sft 123 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 77 par14/083OR 773 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 77 · 1m99y Std 123 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 77 · 1m1f97y Std 123 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 77 par14/09C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Chantilly?2nd4th−2
2026-09-04Chantilly38th8th0
2026-08-14Vichy35th5th0
2026-07-10Compiegne33rd3rd0
2026-04-27Wolverhampton46th7th−1
2026-04-14Lingfield46th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0814/0414/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20256th16/116%50%+0.34
17/09/20258th20/10%13%+0.13
18/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
14/04/20266th6/168%50%-0.18
27/04/20266th5/174%38%-0.36
10/07/20263rd20/10%80%+0.80
14/08/20265th6/168%0%-0.68
04/09/20268th14/126%42%+0.15
14/09/20262nd25/10%93%+0.93