16
Chardon
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/09/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 18/07/2026 | 14th | 7/1 | 63% | 7% | -0.56 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |