1

Guillerette

4yo Filly · 9-6

Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#14

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS20/0421 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 20 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 112 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS2/0623 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1313 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1327/0732 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12911/0831 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 112 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 11413/09C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?17th17th0
2026-08-23Deauville111th9th+2
2026-08-11Deauville31st1st0
2026-07-19Chantilly213th12th+1
2026-07-07Chantilly36th6th0
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp311th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0415/0611/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/202611th8/158%33%-0.25
10/05/202616th20/10%21%+0.21
02/06/202612th20/10%21%+0.21
15/06/202611th11/142%9%-0.33
07/07/20266th12/137%55%+0.18
19/07/202613th40/10%8%+0.08
11/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
23/08/202611th14/126%29%+0.02
13/09/202617th40/10%6%+0.06