Hamilton
6yo Gelding · 9-3
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.38 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |