11
Her Christopher
5yo Gelding · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 15/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 19/05/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |