2
Raqeebb
6yo Gelding · 9-6
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 20/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 03/03/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.42 |
| 07/04/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 46% | -0.22 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |