15
Saturday Night
4yo Filly · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 03/03/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 91% | -0.05 |