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4

Treasure Keeper

8yo Horse · 9-5

Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon La Soie 01/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1301/12C?C5 @ Deauville 02/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m1f110y Std 124 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 71 par3 @ Chantilly 05/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 71 · 1m1f97y Std 123 · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 71 par5/023OR 712 @ Chantilly 03/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 13229/0333 @ Chantilly 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1323 @ Chantilly 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 13019/0533 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 71 · 1m1f97y Std 130 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 71 parC0 @ Vichy 21/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12821/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Vichy?11th11th0
2026-06-19Chantilly33rd3rd0
2026-05-19Chantilly33rd3rd0
2026-04-28Chantilly32nd2nd0
2026-03-29Lyon-Parilly37th7th0
2026-03-03Chantilly28th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/123/0319/0521/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20257th12/137%45%+0.09
02/01/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
05/02/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
03/03/20268th18/15%53%+0.48
29/03/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
28/04/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
19/05/20263rd17/255%86%+0.30
19/06/20263rd4/179%85%+0.06
21/09/202611th20/10%23%+0.23