8
Wheeler
4yo Colt · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix Du Salon Violet Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#12
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 2 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 20/02/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 12/05/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 27/08/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |