10
Miss Chiquita
3yo Filly · 8-10
Chantilly · Prix De Bonneval Listed Stakes · 5f 102y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Deauville | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 03/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |