1
Sweet Chop
4yo Colt · 9-1
Chantilly · Prix De Bonneval Listed Stakes · 5f 102y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 3 | 4th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |