8
Valasara
3yo Filly · 8-10
Chantilly · Prix De Bonneval Listed Stakes · 5f 102y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |