3
Vicious Harry
6yo Horse · 9-1
Chantilly · Prix De Bonneval Listed Stakes · 5f 102y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 10/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |