Zzodiac

4yo Filly · 8-11

Chantilly · Prix De Bonneval Listed Stakes · 5f 102y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▬

Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C0.9

Today: 1

Class gap: -0.1

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-13	ParisLongchamp	?	9th	9th	+0	1.2
2026-08-30	Deauville	1	2nd	2nd	+0	8.2
2026-08-09	Deauville	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-04	Deauville	1	3rd	3rd	+0	7.2
2026-06-02	Saint-Cloud	2	2nd	3rd	−1	6.6
2025-07-06	Deauville	?	4th	4th	0	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/05/2025	1st	11/2	71%	100%	+0.29
19/06/2025	3rd	3/1	84%	78%	-0.06
06/07/2025	4th	16/1	16%	75%	+0.59
02/06/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	89%	+0.10
04/07/2026	3rd	28/1	0%	71%	+0.71
09/08/2026	3rd	15/2	61%	83%	+0.23
30/08/2026	2nd	22/1	0%	89%	+0.89
13/09/2026	9th	25/1	0%	11%	+0.11