3

El Domino

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 75

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made more impact than previously when held in third in 6f maiden here 3 weeks ago, not knocked about having again taken a keen hold. Needs another step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength24%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 12816/07C8C5 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/08C5C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1319/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-08-03Naas?10th6th+4
2026-07-16Leopardstown?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/073/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20266th22/10%50%+0.50
03/08/202610th80/10%10%+0.10
09/09/20263rd50/10%71%+0.71