5

Lion Of Fortune

2yo Colt · 9-7

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Probably needed the run on debut at the Curragh (6f) 6 weeks ago and should last longer this time. Cheekpieces go on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 6f Goo 12816/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength21%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/202611th66/10%41%+0.41