Sapphire Sun

2yo Filly · 9-2

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼2

Strength31%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-13	Curragh	?	12th	8th	+4	2.2
2026-08-23	Naas	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength52%

Delivery trend -27.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/08/2026	6th	16/1	16%	64%	+0.48
13/09/2026	12th	80/1	0%	21%	+0.21