IvyArcIvyArc
5

Best Love

2yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 75

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved when winning 5f Navan maiden 4 weeks ago, although possibly favoured by her position. 6f should suit but needs more again to defy her mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1254/05C8C8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f GF 12224/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f Goo 12814/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 124 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 70 par2/09C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?1st1st0
2026-08-14Cork?7th7th0
2026-07-24Cork?4th4th0
2026-06-19Down Royal?0
2026-05-04Curragh?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0524/0714/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
24/07/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
14/08/20267th22/10%60%+0.60
02/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18