3

Cyclone Code

2yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 77

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series) · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed more dash than on his first 2 outings returning from a 9-week break (gelded) when third of 8 in 5f maiden at Navan at the start of the month. Not so good at Naas next time but could get back on track now handicapping back up over 6f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 13011/05C8C0 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1281/07C?C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 1352/09C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 80 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 80 par17/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?4th4th0
2026-09-02Navan?3rd3rd0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2026-05-11Roscommon?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/051/072/0917/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -10.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
01/07/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
02/09/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
17/09/20264th15/261%57%-0.03