6
Howlin Wolf
2yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 75
Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series) · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: BHA66
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA73 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA73 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA66 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |