4
Pink Venom
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 76
Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series) · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA67 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |