2

Whosinterviewinwho

2yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 79

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well backed and much improved when second in maiden at Galway (7f, good) last month, but ran no sort of race at Down Royal next time. Drops to 6f with visor fitted for nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12730/06C8C8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 12616/07C8C8 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f Yie 1252/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 80 · 7f27y Goo 127 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 80 par4/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?13th13th0
2026-08-02Galway?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Leopardstown?5th5th0
2026-06-30Roscommon?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0616/072/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -46.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20267th50/10%57%+0.57
16/07/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
02/08/20262nd13/266%89%+0.23
04/09/202613th13/891%8%-0.84