5
Baiana
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 71
Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Thurles | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -21.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |