6

Forza Magico

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 70

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promise on first 2 starts before making it third time lucky in maiden at Down Royal (5f, good, evens) 25 days ago, always holding on. Makes handicap debut from a mark which demands improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR - · 6f GF 12927/06C8C8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12911/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 1294/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?1st1st0
2026-07-11Navan?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0611/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -34.2% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20265th18/15%79%+0.74
11/07/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
04/09/20261st1/195%100%+0.05