7

My Cubby Bear

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 70

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mayson filly who was much improved from her debut when second of 11 in 6f maiden at Dundalk last year. Has a lengthy break to overcome on handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 1284/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 1235/11C8C0 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 12614/11C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-14Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-11-05Dundalk?2nd2nd0
2025-10-04Curragh?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/105/1114/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -25.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20256th14/126%58%+0.32
05/11/20252nd13/266%90%+0.24
14/11/20258th15/261%42%-0.19