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9

Rosato

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 58

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourteen runs since last win in 2025. Reacted well to cheekpieces when second of 27 at the Curragh last month but the headgear hasn't worked as well since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 63 · 7f Hvy 123 · beat its mark02/11/2025 · OR 63 par2/1163OR 63BHA62 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 62 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 59 · 6f63y Yie 129 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 59 par3/0659OR 59BHA56 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 138 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 54 · 6f GF 136 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 54 par24/0754OR 54BHA58 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 58 · 6f GF 119 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 58 parBHA58 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 27 · OR 58 · 6f Goo 128 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 58 par22/0858OR 58BHA62 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 62 · 6f Yie 132 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 59 · 5f Gd 142 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 59 par5/0959OR 59projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA599th9th0
2026-08-29CurraghBHA6211th11th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA582nd2nd0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA5811th11th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA542nd2nd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA567th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1112/0622/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength18%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20258th13/266%63%-0.03
19/04/20269th9/153%60%+0.07
03/06/202612th8/158%42%-0.16
12/06/20267th9/276%60%-0.16
24/07/20262nd8/158%94%+0.37
09/08/202611th7/163%23%-0.40
22/08/20262nd17/255%96%+0.41
29/08/202611th5/174%44%-0.29
05/09/20269th13/266%53%-0.13