8

Saint Agatha

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 68

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty of promise when runner-up on debut at the Curragh last summer but hasn't built on that in 4 subsequent runs.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 20/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12820/07C8C0 @ Curragh 09/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 1269/08C?C8 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f Std 1291/04C8BHA75 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 75 · 7f Gd 127 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 75 par4/0575OR 75C8 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 73 · 6f Yie 129 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 73 par30/08C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork?5th5th0
2026-05-04CurraghBHA7511th11th0
2026-04-01Dundalk?3rd3rd0
2025-08-09Curragh?8th8th0
2025-07-20Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/079/081/044/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20252nd9/153%90%+0.37
09/08/20258th18/15%22%+0.17
01/04/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
04/05/202611th8/158%9%-0.49
30/08/20265th10/147%73%+0.26