8

Saint Agatha
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 68
Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA75 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 04/05/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 9% | -0.49 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |