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11

Aboveheronlysky

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 50

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Third in a strong Navan maiden on sole start at 2 yrs, but having missed all of her 3-y-o season she hasn't progressed. Down in class back from 5 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 23/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR - · 5f180y Yie 12123/10C8C8 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 6f Hvy 14215/03C8C8 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sft 14228/03C8BHA58 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 58 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 58 par19/0458OR 58projClass-projected finish: 10th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19CurraghBHA5816th16th0
2026-03-28Curragh?9th9th0
2026-03-15Curragh?9th9th0
2024-10-23Navan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1015/0328/0319/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2016% of fieldRange 17-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -21.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20243rd100/10%89%+0.89
15/03/20269th28/10%47%+0.47
28/03/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
19/04/202616th25/10%25%+0.25