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13

Akashaa

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 43

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#18

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to win but ran well on her first start in a sprint handicap when third at Laytown (6f) earlier this month. Not out of it if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 30/09/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f26y Yie 12030/09C8C8 @ Curragh 23/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f Gd 129BHA50 @ Down Royal 20/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 50 · 7f Gd 123 · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 50 par20/0650OR 50BHA49 @ Dundalk 15/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 49 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 49 parBHA47 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 47 · 1m Std 125 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 47 par19/0947OR 47BHA50 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 50 · 1m1f GF 132 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 50 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m Std 132 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 50 par12/0750OR 50BHA48 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 48 parBHA44 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 44 · 6f Std 138 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 44 par10/0944OR 44projClass-projected finish: 4th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10LaytownBHA443rd3rd0
2026-07-22NaasBHA488th8th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA506th6th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA506th6th0
2025-09-19DundalkBHA476th6th0
2025-08-15DundalkBHA492nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0915/0812/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2037% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/202411th25/10%23%+0.23
23/05/20258th125/10%22%+0.22
20/06/20255th22/10%69%+0.69
15/08/20252nd10/147%92%+0.45
19/09/20256th11/271%62%-0.10
18/06/20266th12/137%64%+0.27
12/07/20266th4/179%62%-0.17
22/07/20268th11/142%59%+0.17
10/09/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12