16
Alandownunder
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 44
Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#19
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.4)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA52 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | BHA56 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA62 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA63 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2026% of fieldRange 10-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/09/2025 | 8th | 400/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/07/2026 | 19th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |