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6

Brains

10yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 54

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Losing run is mounting up but placed again with blinkers back on when third at Listowel (7f) last week.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA56 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 56 · 7f Yie 138 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 56 par15/0456OR 56BHA55 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 7f111y Gd 138 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 55 parBHA59 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 142 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 59 par1/0659OR 59BHA59 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 59 · 7f94y Goo 141 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA58 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 140 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 58 par25/0758OR 58BHA56 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 56 · 7f42y Goo 139 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 56 parBHA56 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 56 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 56 par20/0856OR 56BHA53 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 53 · 7f Std 150 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 53 · 7f15y Yie 136 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 53 par22/0953OR 53projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22ListowelBHA533rd3rd0
2026-09-10LaytownBHA533rd3rd0
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA566th6th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA565th5th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA587th7th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA595th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0430/0620/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2095% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength95%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 20.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20264th9/153%73%+0.20
11/05/20262nd10/382%92%+0.10
01/06/20266th5/174%67%-0.07
30/06/20265th6/168%71%+0.03
25/07/20267th11/142%60%+0.18
06/08/20265th12/137%75%+0.38
20/08/20266th12/137%62%+0.25
10/09/20263rd13/266%78%+0.12
22/09/20263rd11/271%86%+0.15