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7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden and failed to build on a couple of better efforts when down the field at Limerick (1m) when last seen 3 months ago, a gamble on him going west.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/04/2023 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 6f Hvy 14516/04C8BHA56 @ Cork 26/09/2023 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 56 · 6f Sft 134 · beat its mark26/09/2023 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Curragh 31/10/2023 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 55 · 7f Hvy 132 · beat its mark31/10/2023 · OR 55 par31/1055OR 55BHA51 @ Dundalk 06/12/2023 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 51 · 6f Std 128 · beat its mark06/12/2023 · OR 51 parBHA50 @ Curragh 18/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 50 · 6f Hvy 122 · beat its mark18/03/2024 · OR 50 par18/0350OR 50BHA41 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 41 · 1m Goo 123 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 41 parBHA40 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 40 · 7f Yie 123 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 40 par10/0640OR 40C9 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m Yie 122 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 40 · 1m Sft 122 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 40 par19/0640OR 40projClass-projected finish: 6th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19LimerickBHA4010th10th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?4th4th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA404th4th0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA4112th12th0
2024-03-18CurraghBHA505th5th0
2023-12-06DundalkBHA514th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/046/1210/0619/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2058% of fieldRange 9-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength17%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/202310th150/10%47%+0.47
26/09/20239th28/10%47%+0.47
31/10/202312th33/10%42%+0.42
06/12/20234th14/126%75%+0.49
18/03/20245th14/126%79%+0.53
20/05/202612th33/10%27%+0.27
10/06/20264th33/10%77%+0.77
12/06/20264th11/142%77%+0.35
19/06/202610th10/382%25%-0.57