18

Hastily

7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 40

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won C&D handicap last season and having been in a slump since, offered a bit more back here in July in refitted headgear. Best not judged on subsequent Clonmel run over much further (headway when badly hampered entering final 1f, not recover).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 13.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA49 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 49 · 7f195y Goo 131 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 49 par26/0849OR 49C9 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 134 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 52 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 50 · 7f Std 132 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 50 par17/1050OR 50BHA49 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 49 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 49 parBHA48 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 48 par20/0548OR 48C8 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m50y Goo 159C9 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 43 · 1m Yie 125 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 43 par12/06C9OR 43BHA41 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 41 · 6f GF 123 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 41 parBHA40 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m1f168y Yie 122 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 40 par16/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 17th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA4013th13th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA419th9th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?13th13th0
2026-05-30Tramore?14th14th0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA4815th15th0
2026-05-09NaasBHA4916th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/089/0512/0616/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2068% of fieldRange 13-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20252nd33/10%93%+0.93
02/09/202515th25/10%7%+0.07
17/10/20259th9/153%11%-0.42
09/05/202616th33/10%0%0.00
20/05/202615th66/10%7%+0.07
30/05/202614th300/10%7%+0.07
12/06/202613th125/10%8%+0.08
24/07/20269th11/142%56%+0.13
16/09/202613th33/10%8%+0.08