14
Linger For Longer
7yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 43
Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA45 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA50 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA52 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA54 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Listowel | BHA57 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | BHA59 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 2079% of fieldRange 10-20 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 22/08/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 10/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 23/09/2025 | 13th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |
| 09/09/2026 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |