10
Pansy Poe
5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 51
Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#17
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA55 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Dundalk | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Down Royal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Navan | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Curragh | BHA67 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Sligo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2042% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 02/10/2024 | 3rd | 2/7 | 99% | 60% | -0.39 |
| 18/10/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 04/05/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2025 | 19th | 80/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 13/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/08/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |