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20

Sand Art

3yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 42

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blinkered for the first time when getting off the mark in 6f handicap at Sligo in August. That form was franked but he wasn't in the same mood in cheekpieces at Listowel last week. No headgear on this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 24/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 13124/05C8C8 @ Curragh 04/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f Goo 133C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 13430/01C8BHA47 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 47 · 7f Std 119 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 47 parBHA44 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 44 · 7f Goo 123 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 44 par29/0544OR 44BHA42 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 42 · 1m1f163y Yie 122 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 40 · 6f150y Gd 120 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 40 par11/0740OR 40BHA40 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 40 · 6f Yie 122 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 40 parBHA43 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 43 · 7f15y Yie 123 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 43 par22/0943OR 43projClass-projected finish: 7th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22ListowelBHA439th9th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA401st1st0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA4014th14th0
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA4210th10th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA447th7th0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA477th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0511/0211/0722/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2021% of fieldRange 12-20 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20259th100/10%0%0.00
04/06/202510th250/10%25%+0.25
30/01/20268th14/126%46%+0.20
11/02/20267th8/158%40%-0.18
29/05/20267th7/163%54%-0.09
22/06/202610th8/158%31%-0.27
11/07/202614th13/266%0%-0.66
05/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
22/09/20269th7/163%43%-0.20