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15

Sceitimini

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 45

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran well in first-time cheekpieces when fifth of 16 in 1m handicap here last month, albeit not fully convincing with his stamina for the longer trip. Didn't look the easiest of rides at Listowel (7f) since, however. Stronger headgear goes on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 14/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m20y Yie 13314/07C8C8 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 133C8 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Yie 12816/10C8BHA62 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 62 · 6f Std 130 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 60 par23/0160OR 60BHA58 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 58 · 5f3y Gd 135 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 128 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 56 par14/0856OR 56BHA52 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Yie 134 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 52 parBHA48 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 48 · 7f15y Yie 128 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 48 par22/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 8th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22ListowelBHA487th7th0
2026-08-30CorkBHA525th5th0
2026-08-14CorkBHA5611th11th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA5813th13th0
2026-01-23DundalkBHA605th5th0
2025-11-12DundalkBHA628th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0712/1114/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20258th250/10%0%0.00
30/09/20256th150/10%17%+0.17
16/10/202510th150/10%18%+0.18
12/11/20258th33/10%46%+0.46
23/01/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
03/07/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
14/08/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
30/08/20265th80/10%73%+0.73
22/09/20267th33/10%57%+0.57