7
Surpass And Shine
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 54
Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA59 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA67 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA69 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Tipperary | BHA75 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Curragh | BHA75 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA68 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2032% of fieldRange 14-20 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/06/2025 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/07/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 41% | -0.11 |
| 08/08/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 21% | -0.42 |
| 08/07/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/09/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |