5
Three Sixteen
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 56
Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#20
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#20
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 11.8)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA64 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Gowran Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Tipperary | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Cork | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 200% of fieldRange 15-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 20th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/09/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 21st | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |