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9

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5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 52

Cork · WTW Willis Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#16

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden handicapper who was a good second at Down Royal (5f) in June and can have his next run at Navan overlooked (short of room approaching final 1f and eased off). Placed on 3 of his 4 visits to Cork and interesting in refitted headgear back from a break off career-low mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Curragh 20/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 65 · 5f Yie 127 · below its mark20/07/2025 · OR 65 par20/0765OR 65BHA62 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 62 · 6f Sft 123 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 62 · 5f Sft 125 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 62 par22/1062OR 62BHA64 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 64 · 5f Hvy 119 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 63 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 63 par25/0463OR 63BHA62 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 62 · 5f Gd 132 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 130 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 60 par7/0660OR 60BHA56 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 56 · 5f Sft 126 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 56 parBHA56 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 56 · 5f180y Goo 126 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 56 par11/0756OR 56projClass-projected finish: 12th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11NavanBHA5614th14th0
2026-06-19Down RoyalBHA562nd2nd0
2026-06-07NavanBHA6017th17th0
2026-05-09NaasBHA6210th10th0
2026-04-25NavanBHA6312th12th0
2025-11-02CurraghBHA649th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/072/117/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 205% of fieldRange 16-20 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 19th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20259th20/10%53%+0.53
10/09/20253rd16/116%89%+0.74
22/10/20253rd4/179%80%+0.01
02/11/20259th9/153%38%-0.14
25/04/202612th13/266%27%-0.39
09/05/202610th8/158%40%-0.18
07/06/202617th20/10%20%+0.20
19/06/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
11/07/202614th12/137%7%-0.30