4
Latin America
3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 95
Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f 90y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -23.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |