7

Mr Vettori

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 98

Cork · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f 90y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Heavy-ground maiden winner at Gowran last autumn. Better form in defeat this season but this looks another stiffish task. Has since been gelded.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 28/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f Gd 13128/06C8C8 @ Curragh 30/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m Goo 13130/08C8C8 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m75y Hvy 13320/10C8BHA91 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 91 · 1m2f100y Goo 135 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 91 par24/0491OR 911 @ Chester 06/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 94 · 1m4f63y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 94 par6/051OR 941 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m2f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 94 par23/051OR 94BHA98 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 98 · 1m4f Yie 127 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 98 par31/0798OR 98projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31GalwayBHA9811th22th−9
2026-05-23Curragh14th4th+0
2026-05-06Chester15th5th+0
2026-04-24CorkBHA912nd12th−8
2025-10-20Gowran Park?1st10th−7
2025-08-30Curragh?2nd11th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0624/0431/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/202510th25/10%25%+0.25
30/08/20252nd50/10%83%+0.83
20/10/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
24/04/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
06/05/20265th22/10%0%0.00
23/05/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
31/07/202611th10/147%41%-0.06