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11

Lady Chancalot

2yo Filly · 9-2

Cork · Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

€75,000 foal, €78,000 yearling, Camelot filly. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. 150/1, mid-field in 7f Gowran maiden on debut 4 weeks ago. Should know more this time but will probably make little appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 1281/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength23%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20269th150/10%47%+0.47