16

Torvella

2yo Filly · 9-2

Cork · Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well drawn and showed more than first time up when fifth in 17-runner 7f maiden here 3 weeks ago. 1m will suit but might be more one for handicaps over even further next year.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 1259/08C?C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?5th5th0
2026-08-09Curragh?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +36.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20269th28/10%38%+0.38
09/09/20265th66/10%75%+0.75