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5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 89

Cork · Follow Us On X Handicap · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly raced but useful at best for Charlie Appleby. Picked up for £64,000 by this yard but hasn't shown much in 2 runs for them.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chelmsford City 14/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m Std 13314/1232 @ Newmarket 16/04/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f Gd 1341 @ Newmarket 03/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 105 · 7f Gd 131 · beat its mark03/05/2024 · OR 105 par3/051OR 1051 @ Newmarket 11/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 105 · 1m GS 131 · below its mark11/07/2024 · OR 105 parC0 @ Meydan 17/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f Gd 13717/01C?C0 @ Meydan 02/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 134C0 @ Meydan 16/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m Gd 13116/01C?BHA93 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 93 · 1m20y Gd 144 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 7f Yie 136 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 92 par30/0892OR 92projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA925th5th0
2026-07-13KillarneyBHA933rd3rd0
2026-01-16Meydan?6th6th0
2026-01-02Meydan?11th11th0
2025-01-17Meydan?6th6th0
2024-07-11Newmarket16th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1211/0716/0130/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20231st11/1094%100%+0.06
16/04/20243rd4/179%60%-0.19
03/05/20242nd11/486%67%-0.19
11/07/20246th12/137%0%-0.37
17/01/20256th7/282%64%-0.17
02/01/202611th50/10%23%+0.23
16/01/20266th25/10%62%+0.62
13/07/20263rd17/255%0%-0.55
30/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43