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5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 89
Cork · Follow Us On X Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA92 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | BHA93 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Meydan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Meydan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-01-17 | Meydan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-07-11 | Newmarket | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2023 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/04/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 03/05/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/01/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.17 |
| 02/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |