5
Daler
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 81
Cork · Follow Us On X Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA82 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA83 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | BHA83 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA82 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | BHA75 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | BHA80 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 29% | -0.61 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 30% | -0.58 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |